XRP price has
tumbled to its lowest level in over a week, falling to $2.0856 on Friday before
recovering slightly to $2.1729 on Saturday, as the cryptocurrency faces
pressure from both geopolitical tensions and technical selling.
In this article, we answer the question of why XRP is going down today, explore the outlook based on technical analysis, and review the latest price forecasts.
The token
has now posted four consecutive sessions of losses, dropping more than 10% from
Tuesday’s peaks near $2.32. The decline coincides with broader cryptocurrency
market weakness following Israel’s
military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which sent investors
fleeing from risk assets to
popular save havens like gold, Swiss franc or Japanese yen.
“Gold and oil are climbing on real-world demand and
risk aversion. Crypto is dipping as traders cash in on short-term volatility,
and because it’s still not viewed as a true safe haven, at least not yet,” said Dr Kirill Kretov, Senior Automation Expert at CoinPanel. “When traditional finance is stressed, gold benefits from its reputation as a safe haven.”
XRP price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
XRP’s
latest slide comes despite what many viewed as positive news in its
long-running legal battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC ). On
Thursday, Ripple and the SEC filed a joint motion requesting the release of
$125 million held in escrow, with $50 million going to the SEC as a civil
penalty and $75 million returning to Ripple.
“The
parties’ proposed resolution will preserve the resources of the Second Circuit
by avoiding the need to decide appeals, obviate any remand for further
proceedings in this Court, and bring 4.5 years of hard-fought litigation to an
end,” the filing attorneys wrote.
The
settlement motion represents the final chapter in a case that began in December
2020 when the SEC accused Ripple of conducting unregistered securities sales.
While Judge Analisa Torres ruled in July 2023 that secondary XRP sales are not
securities, she also determined that institutional sales during funding rounds
violated securities laws.
Technical Breakdown
Accelerates XRP Price Selling
From a
technical perspective, XRP has struggled to break above the $2.33 resistance
level, facing three rejections at that price point over recent sessions. The
repeated failures have created what analysts describe as a head-and-shoulders
pattern, with the neckline sitting at $2.285.
Trading
volume peaked during the heaviest selling, with over 7 million units changing
hands as the price declined from $2.288 to $2.260 – a 3.7% drop in a single
session. While XRP formed a double bottom at $2.250 and attempted a recovery,
the bounce came on declining volume, suggesting weakening buying interest.
XRP price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
The broader
cryptocurrency market has been under pressure since Israel launched airstrikes
against Iran’s nuclear facilities on June 13. Bitcoin dropped 4% to around
$103,000, while Ethereum fell 8% and other major tokens posted similar
declines.
In my
previous technical analysis, I suggested that XRP might have a chance for a
stronger rebound due
to the completion of a flag pattern, which points to an upward target
around the $3.30 level. But what do expert forecasts say about this potential?
XRP Price Predictions: 10,
100 or even 1,000 per one XRP token?
Expert/Institution
2025
Prediction
2026
Prediction
2027
Prediction
2028
Prediction
2030
Prediction
Key
Drivers
Standard
Chartered
$5.50
$8.00
–
$12.50
–
ETF
approvals, institutional adoption
CoinDesk
AI Model
$2.85 (July)
–
–
–
–
Technical
breakout, volume surge
Michaël
van de Poppe
$3.40
–
–
–
–
Retest of
January 2025 high
EGRAG
Crypto
$15-17
–
$27
–
–
Breaking
$3.40 resistance, historical patterns
Ali
Martinez
$3.35
–
–
–
–
Cup-and-handle
pattern
Arthur
Azizov
$5-7
–
–
–
–
Regulatory
developments
Ryan Lee
$1.80-8.40
–
–
–
–
Adoption and
regulatory outcomes
Alpha
Lions Academy
$10
–
–
–
–
ETF demand, falling Bitcoin
dominance
Changelly
$4.44 (max)
–
$6.26
–
$17.33
Market analysis and technical
indicators
InvestingHaven
$1.81-4.10
$2.21-6.01
$4.10-9.00
$9.00
$12.00
Giant bullish
triangle pattern
Cryptomus
–
$6.13
–
–
–
Institutional
adoption
@B_arri_C
(Twitter)
$100
$1,000
$1,000
–
–
Exponential
growth speculation
Related: How High Can XRP Go? Experts Predict 500% XRP Price Jump by 2028
The most
credible forecasts come from established financial institutions like Standard
Chartered, which predicts XRP reaching $5.50 by year-end 2025, driven primarily
by anticipated ETF approvals and increased institutional adoption following
regulatory clarity.
Technical
analysis experts like Michaël van de Poppe focus on chart patterns and
resistance levels, suggesting XRP could retest its previous all-time high of
$3.40 in the near term. Meanwhile, CoinDesk’s AI-assisted model provides a more
measured approach, forecasting $2.85 by July 2025 based on current momentum and
trading volume patterns.
Medium-term
outlook for 2026-2028 presents even more ambitious targets, with Standard
Chartered maintaining its bullish stance by projecting $8.00 in 2026 and $12.50
by 2028. These predictions assume continued growth in Ripple ‘s partnerships
with financial institutions and successful integration of XRP into global
payment systems.
Long-term
forecasts extending to 2030 vary significantly, with conservative
estimates around $12-17 from established analysts, while some community-driven
predictions reach extraordinary levels. The more realistic projections consider
XRP’s potential market capitalization relative to the global remittance market,
which processes approximately $7.5 trillion annually.
You may
also like: Why
XRP Is Going Up and Price Predictions (June 2025 Update)
Mixed Outlook Despite Legal Progress
The legal
settlement with the SEC removes a major overhang that has weighed on XRP for
years. The cryptocurrency industry views the resolution as a symbolic victory,
particularly given that XRP is no longer classified as a security in secondary
market transactions.
However,
market participants remain focused on near-term technical levels. If XRP’s
support at $2.25 fails to hold, analysts see a potential decline toward $2.234.
Conversely, a sustained break above $2.35 could signal renewed upward momentum.
Institutional
interest in XRP continues to grow despite the recent price weakness. Several
publicly listed companies have announced XRP-focused treasury strategies, while
Ondo Finance launched its flagship US Treasury product on the XRP Ledger this
week.
Looking
ahead, traders are monitoring potential catalysts including a possible XRP spot
ETF decision from Franklin Templeton, which could arrive later this month. The
combination of regulatory clarity and institutional adoption may provide
longer-term support, even as short-term volatility persists amid ongoing
geopolitical tensions.
XRP News, FAQ
Why is the XRP price
falling?
XRP’s price
decline stems from multiple converging factors that have created sustained
selling pressure throughout 2025. The primary drivers include technical
breakdown patterns, with XRP confirming a bearish head-and-shoulders formation
that projects further declines toward $2.00. The token has struggled to
maintain momentum above the critical $2.40 resistance level, leading to
repeated rejections and weakening buyer confidence.
Is it worth investing in
XRP now?
Yes, the potential
upside catalysts include the pending SEC decision on Franklin Templeton’s XRP
ETF application on June 17, 2025, with market observers estimating up to 88%
probability of approval. The resolution of Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC,
including the recent $125 million settlement agreement, has removed a major
regulatory overhang that previously suppressed institutional interest.
What’s happening with XRP
at the moment?
XRP is
currently experiencing a critical inflection point as multiple catalysts
converge in June 2025. The token is trading around $2.15, having declined from
recent highs near $2.40, and is testing key technical support levels that could
determine its near-term direction.
Regulatory
developments remain at the forefront, with Ripple and the SEC filing a joint
motion to release $125 million from escrow, effectively concluding their
4.5-year legal battle. This settlement, while positive for long-term clarity,
has yet to provide the expected price boost as markets focus on technical
factors and broader economic conditions.
Is XRP likely to go down?
The
probability of further XRP declines depends largely on whether current
technical support levels hold. Bearish indicators include the confirmed
head-and-shoulders pattern with a measured target of $2.00, representing
approximately 14% downside from current levels. The breakdown below the $2.33
neckline has activated this bearish scenario, with initial support at $2.25
already tested.
XRP price has
tumbled to its lowest level in over a week, falling to $2.0856 on Friday before
recovering slightly to $2.1729 on Saturday, as the cryptocurrency faces
pressure from both geopolitical tensions and technical selling.
In this article, we answer the question of why XRP is going down today, explore the outlook based on technical analysis, and review the latest price forecasts.
The token
has now posted four consecutive sessions of losses, dropping more than 10% from
Tuesday’s peaks near $2.32. The decline coincides with broader cryptocurrency
market weakness following Israel’s
military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which sent investors
fleeing from risk assets to
popular save havens like gold, Swiss franc or Japanese yen.
“Gold and oil are climbing on real-world demand and
risk aversion. Crypto is dipping as traders cash in on short-term volatility,
and because it’s still not viewed as a true safe haven, at least not yet,” said Dr Kirill Kretov, Senior Automation Expert at CoinPanel. “When traditional finance is stressed, gold benefits from its reputation as a safe haven.”
XRP price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
XRP’s
latest slide comes despite what many viewed as positive news in its
long-running legal battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC ). On
Thursday, Ripple and the SEC filed a joint motion requesting the release of
$125 million held in escrow, with $50 million going to the SEC as a civil
penalty and $75 million returning to Ripple.
“The
parties’ proposed resolution will preserve the resources of the Second Circuit
by avoiding the need to decide appeals, obviate any remand for further
proceedings in this Court, and bring 4.5 years of hard-fought litigation to an
end,” the filing attorneys wrote.
The
settlement motion represents the final chapter in a case that began in December
2020 when the SEC accused Ripple of conducting unregistered securities sales.
While Judge Analisa Torres ruled in July 2023 that secondary XRP sales are not
securities, she also determined that institutional sales during funding rounds
violated securities laws.
Technical Breakdown
Accelerates XRP Price Selling
From a
technical perspective, XRP has struggled to break above the $2.33 resistance
level, facing three rejections at that price point over recent sessions. The
repeated failures have created what analysts describe as a head-and-shoulders
pattern, with the neckline sitting at $2.285.
Trading
volume peaked during the heaviest selling, with over 7 million units changing
hands as the price declined from $2.288 to $2.260 – a 3.7% drop in a single
session. While XRP formed a double bottom at $2.250 and attempted a recovery,
the bounce came on declining volume, suggesting weakening buying interest.
XRP price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
The broader
cryptocurrency market has been under pressure since Israel launched airstrikes
against Iran’s nuclear facilities on June 13. Bitcoin dropped 4% to around
$103,000, while Ethereum fell 8% and other major tokens posted similar
declines.
In my
previous technical analysis, I suggested that XRP might have a chance for a
stronger rebound due
to the completion of a flag pattern, which points to an upward target
around the $3.30 level. But what do expert forecasts say about this potential?
XRP Price Predictions: 10,
100 or even 1,000 per one XRP token?
Expert/Institution
2025
Prediction
2026
Prediction
2027
Prediction
2028
Prediction
2030
Prediction
Key
Drivers
Standard
Chartered
$5.50
$8.00
–
$12.50
–
ETF
approvals, institutional adoption
CoinDesk
AI Model
$2.85 (July)
–
–
–
–
Technical
breakout, volume surge
Michaël
van de Poppe
$3.40
–
–
–
–
Retest of
January 2025 high
EGRAG
Crypto
$15-17
–
$27
–
–
Breaking
$3.40 resistance, historical patterns
Ali
Martinez
$3.35
–
–
–
–
Cup-and-handle
pattern
Arthur
Azizov
$5-7
–
–
–
–
Regulatory
developments
Ryan Lee
$1.80-8.40
–
–
–
–
Adoption and
regulatory outcomes
Alpha
Lions Academy
$10
–
–
–
–
ETF demand, falling Bitcoin
dominance
Changelly
$4.44 (max)
–
$6.26
–
$17.33
Market analysis and technical
indicators
InvestingHaven
$1.81-4.10
$2.21-6.01
$4.10-9.00
$9.00
$12.00
Giant bullish
triangle pattern
Cryptomus
–
$6.13
–
–
–
Institutional
adoption
@B_arri_C
(Twitter)
$100
$1,000
$1,000
–
–
Exponential
growth speculation
Related: How High Can XRP Go? Experts Predict 500% XRP Price Jump by 2028
The most
credible forecasts come from established financial institutions like Standard
Chartered, which predicts XRP reaching $5.50 by year-end 2025, driven primarily
by anticipated ETF approvals and increased institutional adoption following
regulatory clarity.
Technical
analysis experts like Michaël van de Poppe focus on chart patterns and
resistance levels, suggesting XRP could retest its previous all-time high of
$3.40 in the near term. Meanwhile, CoinDesk’s AI-assisted model provides a more
measured approach, forecasting $2.85 by July 2025 based on current momentum and
trading volume patterns.
Medium-term
outlook for 2026-2028 presents even more ambitious targets, with Standard
Chartered maintaining its bullish stance by projecting $8.00 in 2026 and $12.50
by 2028. These predictions assume continued growth in Ripple ‘s partnerships
with financial institutions and successful integration of XRP into global
payment systems.
Long-term
forecasts extending to 2030 vary significantly, with conservative
estimates around $12-17 from established analysts, while some community-driven
predictions reach extraordinary levels. The more realistic projections consider
XRP’s potential market capitalization relative to the global remittance market,
which processes approximately $7.5 trillion annually.
You may
also like: Why
XRP Is Going Up and Price Predictions (June 2025 Update)
Mixed Outlook Despite Legal Progress
The legal
settlement with the SEC removes a major overhang that has weighed on XRP for
years. The cryptocurrency industry views the resolution as a symbolic victory,
particularly given that XRP is no longer classified as a security in secondary
market transactions.
However,
market participants remain focused on near-term technical levels. If XRP’s
support at $2.25 fails to hold, analysts see a potential decline toward $2.234.
Conversely, a sustained break above $2.35 could signal renewed upward momentum.
Institutional
interest in XRP continues to grow despite the recent price weakness. Several
publicly listed companies have announced XRP-focused treasury strategies, while
Ondo Finance launched its flagship US Treasury product on the XRP Ledger this
week.
Looking
ahead, traders are monitoring potential catalysts including a possible XRP spot
ETF decision from Franklin Templeton, which could arrive later this month. The
combination of regulatory clarity and institutional adoption may provide
longer-term support, even as short-term volatility persists amid ongoing
geopolitical tensions.
XRP News, FAQ
Why is the XRP price
falling?
XRP’s price
decline stems from multiple converging factors that have created sustained
selling pressure throughout 2025. The primary drivers include technical
breakdown patterns, with XRP confirming a bearish head-and-shoulders formation
that projects further declines toward $2.00. The token has struggled to
maintain momentum above the critical $2.40 resistance level, leading to
repeated rejections and weakening buyer confidence.
Is it worth investing in
XRP now?
Yes, the potential
upside catalysts include the pending SEC decision on Franklin Templeton’s XRP
ETF application on June 17, 2025, with market observers estimating up to 88%
probability of approval. The resolution of Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC,
including the recent $125 million settlement agreement, has removed a major
regulatory overhang that previously suppressed institutional interest.
What’s happening with XRP
at the moment?
XRP is
currently experiencing a critical inflection point as multiple catalysts
converge in June 2025. The token is trading around $2.15, having declined from
recent highs near $2.40, and is testing key technical support levels that could
determine its near-term direction.
Regulatory
developments remain at the forefront, with Ripple and the SEC filing a joint
motion to release $125 million from escrow, effectively concluding their
4.5-year legal battle. This settlement, while positive for long-term clarity,
has yet to provide the expected price boost as markets focus on technical
factors and broader economic conditions.
Is XRP likely to go down?
The
probability of further XRP declines depends largely on whether current
technical support levels hold. Bearish indicators include the confirmed
head-and-shoulders pattern with a measured target of $2.00, representing
approximately 14% downside from current levels. The breakdown below the $2.33
neckline has activated this bearish scenario, with initial support at $2.25
already tested.
