Enterprise: Riot Platforms is a bitcoin mining and digital infrastructure firm. It has bitcoin mining operations in central Texas and Kentucky, and electrical switchgear engineering and fabrication operations in Denver. It operates a bitcoin-driven infrastructure platform. Its segments embody Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. The Bitcoin Mining section is engaged in bitcoin mining. The Engineering section designs and producers energy distribution tools and {custom} engineered electrical merchandise.
Inventory Market Worth: $3.97B ($11.55 per share)
Possession: n/a
Common Price: n/a
Activist Commentary: Starboard is a really profitable activist investor and has intensive expertise serving to corporations deal with operational effectivity and margin enchancment. Starboard has taken a complete of 155 prior activist campaigns in its historical past and has a median return of 23.27% versus 15.27% for the Russell 2000 over the identical interval.
Starboard has acquired a place in Riot Platforms and sees alternatives for operational and strategic worth creation.
Riot Platforms is engaged in each the mining of bitcoin, in addition to proudly owning and working its personal mining services. Vertical integration permits Riot to instantly management its operations and handle enter prices similar to energy and overhead charges, versus renting out house from third-party knowledge middle operators. Riot has two enterprise segments: Bitcoin Mining and Engineering (designing and manufacturing energy distribution tools and custom-engineered electrical merchandise). The corporate is likely one of the largest publicly traded bitcoin miners with over 1 gigawatt (GW) of developed energy capability between its services in Rockdale, Texas; Corsicana, Texas; and Kentucky. Riot additionally owns 16,728 bitcoins.
Regardless of bitcoin being up roughly 130% this 12 months and an incoming presidential administration favorable to cryptocurrency, Riot’s inventory worth has declined by 24% previous to the announcement of Starboard’s place versus a median year-to-date return of over 100% for its friends. This important underperformance in an organization with such robust tailwinds can solely imply an excessive insecurity in administration – and for good motive. First, spending on promoting, basic and administrative bills is uncontrolled as much as $225 million prior to now 12 months up from $67 million in 2022. A part of the explanation for that is the stock-based compensation paid to executives. Regardless of regularly delivering losses and with a three-year return of -54.7%, administration has paid themselves 11.5%, 9.5%, and 32.12% of complete income in stock-based compensation over the previous three years. Accordingly, the corporate has the very best energy value plus money SG&A expense per coin within the house, regardless of gaining access to comparatively low-cost energy, in addition to the very best inventory compensation per coin. Accordingly, the corporate has delivered damaging web working revenue in every of the previous three years, with its largest working loss ever this 12 months of $304 million. Add to this a horrible company governance observe document with a five-person staggered board and situations of nepotism throughout the larger ranges of the corporate. In consequence, Riot trades at one of many most cost-effective multiples within the business on the idea of enterprise worth to earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and EV to PH/s (petahash per second, a measure of computational energy).
Starboard has intensive expertise in company governance and serving to boards “professionalize” corporations and optimize operations. Simply the addition of a Starboard consultant to the board would give the markets great confidence that administration is on the trail towards shareholder worth creation. Starboard is an distinctive activist with experience in bettering operational efficiency and margins, abilities which any administration workforce needs to be excited to have in an engaged shareholder. The agency will little question advocate for the corporate to scale back its needlessly excessive SG&A bills and right-size govt compensation to replicate enterprise efficiency.
However the excellent news for the board and administration is that Starboard’s second a part of the agency’s plan could make all of them wealthy: Pursue the huge demand alternative from hyperscalers or large-scale cloud computing corporations that function knowledge facilities and supply cloud infrastructure and providers. These corporations, similar to Amazon Net Providers, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, to call just a few of the biggest, have been in a battle to contract out and construct websites to run their Excessive-Efficiency Computing (HPC) and Synthetic Intelligence (AI) knowledge middle operations. Crypto mining services share a number of key inputs with these functions that make them glorious candidates for contracting out their capability or changing their crypto operations, particularly high-performance computing infrastructure, entry to power (ideally renewable), power administration experience, and operational scalability, amongst others. Whereas the particular wants of hyperscalers will not be an identical to these of crypto miners, it’s a lot faster and cheaper for them to transform present services in a 12 months or two slightly than taking a number of years to construct their very own services from the bottom up.
It is a technique that a number of of Riot’s rivals have pursued a lot to the delight of their shareholders. Earlier this 12 months, Core Scientific, one other bitcoin miner, entered into an settlement with CoreWeave, an Nvidia-backed AI knowledge middle startup, to ship 500 megawatts of capability to host CoreWeave’s HPC operations. This association is value $8.7 billion in cumulative income over 12 years to Core Scientific, which is ready to generate about $1 million in incremental money stream per 1 MW contracted beneath the deal at a 75% to 80% revenue margin, way over what it will obtain from its regular bitcoin mining operations. In response to Core Scientific’s first announcement of its partnership with CoreWeave in June, Core Scientific’s inventory worth rocketed 40% the next day and is up almost 220% since. Regardless of being the fifth largest miner by hash charge, it’s now the second when it comes to market cap. Bit Digital, Hive Digital, Hut 8 and Iren have additionally already made the change to combined use with a number of different miners piloting or exploring the potential to capitalize on this large alternative. The shares of Bitcoin mining companies which have already shifted capability to HPC have delivered a median YTD return of 105.8% versus a median of -3.4% for friends who had not but introduced plans to take action (Riot, Mara Holdings, and CleanSpark).
The excellent news for Riot shareholders is that the corporate is in a wonderful place to capitalize on the huge alternative introduced by leasing capability to hyperscalers. The Rockdale, Texas bitcoin mining facility is the biggest in North America with 700 MW of developed capability. Its Corsicana, Texas facility, presently has 400 MW of capability and, upon completion, is predicted to have roughly 1 GW. These crops have traits favorable to hyperscalers (entry to power, close to main metro areas, low latency and managed pure catastrophe danger). Extrapolating from the Core Scientific deal, Riot has the chance to generate $1 million of money stream per MW on hyperscaling. The Corsicana facility will quickly have 600 MW of unused capability that may be contracted out proper now to hyperscalers with out affecting any of the corporate’s current bitcoin mining operations. Assuming Riot transformed solely the 600 MW it’s working to deliver on-line at its Corsicana facility, it might generate an incremental $600 million in money stream yearly (versus $313 million of income in the present day). If Riot have been capable of convert the extra full 1.1 GW of its projected complete capability at Rockdale and Corsicana, that quantity might nearly triple. Moreover, if the corporate indicators a deal like Core Scientific did with CoreWeave, the hyperscaler pays for just about the entire capex to construct or convert these operations. Furthermore, in July, Riot acquired Block Mining with its Kentucky services and is aiming to extend its capability from 60 MW to 300 MW, which could not be best for hyperscalers, however might definitely no less than be used for bitcoin.
There are definitely conventional Starboard-type of levers on this engagement for shareholder worth creation similar to operational enhancements, divestiture of non-core companies and investments, in addition to improved company governance. Nevertheless, the core factor of the agency’s marketing campaign and message to administration is straightforward: Go searching you. Riot is being lapped by its rivals for failing to capitalize on the huge alternative introduced by leasing capability to hyperscalers. Each announcement of such a contract understandably sends their friends’ inventory on a hovering trajectory. And Riot is in a wonderful place to capitalize on this.
Riot has already come out and stated that it has spoken with Starboard on a number of events, welcomes the agency’s enter and appears ahead to ongoing constructive dialogue with a purpose to create worth for all shareholders. Nevertheless, it will not be unreasonable at first look to suppose Starboard could encounter difficulties primarily based on the corporate scoring very low in company governance metrics, its staggered five-person board with only one seat accessible at its subsequent assembly, and up to date actions evidencing that the corporate is targeted solely on being the biggest vertically built-in bitcoin miner. Shareholder activism typically comes down to creating an incontrovertible argument. Starboard has one right here, no less than for the 600 MW that’s not getting used but. As soon as administration sees cash coming in, permitting them to develop into the outsized compensation they’ve been receiving, it’s not an extended bounce to changing their different capability.
Furthermore, Riot just lately bought $510 million of bitcoin on the open market utilizing the proceeds from a convertible senior notes providing, reflecting that it might wish to purchase bitcoin in the present day at a charge which exceeds its present mining capability. There can be no higher technique to accomplish that purpose than changing a few of its capability for hyperscalers to generate robust and steady money stream properly in extra of what its regular operations would. If Riot is de facto so adamant about proudly owning bitcoin, it might use a few of this extra money stream to amass among the bitcoin it will have in any other case mined. Administration should resolve whether or not Riot needs to be a professionally run firm that optimizes worth for all concerned or whether or not it simply needs to be a bitcoin miner. If administration decides on the latter, it is going to be selecting to not solely forego billions of {dollars} in worth however put itself on a path of a possible distracting and costly proxy battle with Starboard over the subsequent two years – on the finish of which administration might stroll away with nothing. We don’t see this occurring as there appears to be numerous room for compromise right here.
Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional analysis service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio supervisor of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist 13D investments. Riot Platforms is owned within the fund.
