No surprises within the Federal Reserve’s coverage. The Fed funds charge was unchanged and the projections on the place charges might be over the subsequent 3 years remained the identical as in December.
The variations got here within the Fed’s projections for the financial system (2025 progress revised down from 2.1% to 1.7%) and inflation ( for 2025 revised up from 2.5% to 2.8).
With the projections holding regular at round 4.3% to 4.4% (at present 4.1%).
They downplayed the latest decline in private spending and rising inflation expectations. Calling it a slowdown, moderately than the beginning of something extra. And citing the long term inflation expectations stay in fine condition.
It’s all simply an informed guess. You may’t take all of it too severely.
Shares moved larger, whereas rates of interest got here down just a little. And the declined after the two pm announcement.
The subsequent actual hurdle for the inventory market is round 5750-5785 on the (highlighted space above on the chart connected beneath).
There’s a confluence that features however not restricted to:
200-day shifting common
March seventh open value hole
January’s swing low
The post-election hole
38% retrace degree
What was as soon as help could now turn out to be resistance. The bulls will wish to get costs above earlier than later. We’ll see.
