Can’t Lose BTC Bet

So, I found a BTC bet on Robinhood that I don't think can possibly lose. Basically, there is a bet that before Nov 1st, 2025, BTC will not hit 150k. So, here is why I think it is like 99% sure shot to win. 1) BTC is 115k today, which is 35k away from 150k. 2) There are only about 87 days from today until Oct 31, 2025. 3) In order for BTC to get from 115k to 150k, BTC would have to rise by +30% in 87 days. 4) BTC market cap is +2.6 TRILLION 5) In order to get to 150k, BTC would need to gain +168 Billion in market cap in only 87 days. 6) There is pretty much NO chance 160Billion of liquidity is coming into BTC in the next 87 days from retail or anywhere else. If that was possible, BTC would be at 4 trillion by Nov 1st, 2025. There is no way that is happening. 7) This leads me to believe that no matter how much $ you have, if you bet it all against BTC reaching 150k before Nov 1st, 2025, you have like a 99% chance at winning. Therefore, Im testing my theory by betting $400 to only get back $500 ($100 profit).

Note: I am waiting to see if the prices get better so I can buy more.