The New Zealand greenback and Japanese yen are the two-worst performing main currencies of 2024. That is an odd incidence as they typically discover themselves on the alternative sides of the spectrum as a standard excessive yielder (NZD) and low yielder (JPY).
This 12 months, the US greenback took an 11.6% chunk out of each.
It actually wasn’t a straight line for anybody buying and selling the pair. NZD steadily rose towards JPY from Might to mid-July after which the underside fell out because the market sniffed out a world slowdown. It was a rug pull within the pair that led to some breathtaking promoting for 3 straight weeks. That drop was an early warning signal that foreshadowed (by a couple of week) a drop in US equities and world threat belongings.
However the financial ache by no means actually materialized in a method that some central financial institution fee cuts could not deal with. The Fed pivoted and NZD/JPY has cautiously tried to discover a backside.
Combined in with that has been a haphazard Chinese language stimulus program that is at occasions impressed the market however principally dissatisfied it. That can stay an enormous theme in NZD/JPY and buying and selling basically in 2025.